Incerteza política
Economia

Incerteza política


The Uncertainty Debate: Now a Hot Research Topic

The impact of uncertainty—in particular policy uncertainty—is a hot topic of debate in the press and the blogosphere.  So the Dallas Fed decided to hold a conference last week to explore the issue. Nick Bloom of Stanford, Tom Fomby of SMU, and Evan Koenig of the Dallas Fed organized it.  Many economists who have been doing serious academic research on the topic came. They presented papers, answered questions and listened to criticism. At lunch, Richard Fisher and I gave talks and discussed policy uncertainty with Nick Bloom before a larger audience from the Dallas community which was open to and  covered by the press. Richard Fisher summarized the issue succinctly in his informative remarks: “Uncertainty matters. A lot.”  I added that the recent increase in policy uncertainty was like a climate change rather than a few isolated storms here than there due, say, to the shutdown and debt limit hikes.
Mais



loading...

- Economia De Incerteza
 Sheila Dow: The Economics of Uncertainty Welcome to our video series called "New Economic Thinking." The series will feature dozens of conversations with leading economists on the most important issues facing economics and the global economy today....

- A Falha Das Médias Ou Os Erros Da Estatística E Econometria
The Flaw of Averages: Why We Underestimate Risk in the Face of Uncertainty  by Sam L. Savage A GROUNDBREAKING MUST-READ FOR ANYONE WHO MAKES BUSINESS DECISIONS IN THE FACE OF UNCERTAINTY In The Flaw of Averages, Sam Savage—known...

-
Quer incerteza? Então... Queixa-padrão de muitos: "o modelo não tem incerteza". Bem, duas soluções: jogar o modelo fora e mudar de profissão ou tentar fazer algo a respeito. Aí embaixo vai um artigo que parece promissor. Pelo menos, ao ler...

-
O meio-ambiente vai bem, obrigado Para quem gosta do tema "externalidades", "bens públicos", eis aí um bom texto (integral, para download, lá). Um trecho importante: And recent findings in climate-change science also give reason for hope. Because...

-
Milton Friedman (is) Everywhere Milton Friedman é homenageado num evento com vários bons artigos. Leia alguns deles! O link tá aí embaixo. Reparem na variedade de temas tratados e, claro, nos meus autores favoritos: Tyler Cowen, Ben Bernanke, James...



Economia








.