Economia


E o governo ainda não cria crescimento econômico...

Tema polêmico mas que não ganha muito com análises ruins, na opinião de Jude Blanchette.

O The New York Times parece ter publicado um artigo cheio de problemas. Por que? Bem, segundo Blanchette: On the first day of an introductory statistics class a student is likely to learn the maxim “correlation isn’t causation.” Simply put, the correlation (a statistical relationship) between two variables doesn’t mean that one caused the other. That the sun rises when roosters crow does not mean that roosters cause the sun to rise. To prove causation, one must employ a theory.

Economist Jeff Madrick, in his January 20 New York Times article, “Is Less Government Better for Business? Not if History Provides a Guide,” has handed a Statistics 101 class a good example of the erroneous conclusions that can be reached when correlation is confused with causation.

Confira.



loading...

- Top 10
Dear Antony P Mueller: Your paper, "BEYOND KEYNES AND THE CLASSICS. OUTLINE OF THE GOODS SIDE/MONEY SIDE MODEL OF THE BUSINESS CYCLE AND MACROECONOMIC CONFIGURATIONS", was recently listed on SSRN's Top Ten download list for: ERN: Business...

- As Causas Da Crise Financeira Global
Cato UnboundThe Real Problem was Nominalby Scott Sumner Lead Essay September 14th, 2009A recent series of articles in The Economist argued that the current financial crisis has exposed important flaws in modern economic theory. I will make a slightly...

- O Mentiroso Governo Argentino
The Economist explica:Lies and Argentine statistics Stalinist practices in Buenos AiresMOST Argentines reacted with a shrug when their government began doctoring its consumer-price index in 2007. Cooking the books cost holders of the country’s inflation-linked...

- Sobre Keynes E Os Keynesianos
Niall Ferguson: "... It was said of the Bourbons that they forgot nothing and learned nothing. The same could easily be said of some of today’s latter-day Keynesians. They cannot and never will forget the policy errors made in the US in the 1930s. But...

- "supernovo" - Artigo Sobre Ciclo De Negocios
Asymmetry in the Business Cycle: Friedman’s Plucking Model with Correlated Innovations Tara M. Sinclair1 Department of Economics And the Elliott School of International Affairs The George Washington University Washington, DC 20052 [email protected] THIS...



Economia








.