Economia
- Institutos Nacional De Estatísticas Das Nações:
África do Sul - Statistics South AfricaAlbânia - Institute of StatisticsAlemanha - Federal Statistical OfficeAndorra - Departament d'Estudis i d'EstadísticaArgentina - Instituto Nacional de Estadística y CensosArménia - National Statistical...
- A Problemática Das Privisões
Amazon Best Books of the Month, September 2012: People love statistics. Statistics, however, do not always love them back. The Signal and the Noise, Nate Silver's brilliant and elegant tour of the modern science-slash-art of forecasting, shows what...
- Não-ergodicidade
Non-Ergodic Economics Stochastic multiplicative growth, specifically geometric Brownian motion, plays a central role in finance an in economics. The non-ergodicity of this process manifests itself as a difference between ensemble and time average growth...
- 10 Características Para Ter Sucesso
The 10 Skills That Will Get You Hired In 2013 By Meghan Casserly | Forbes Here, the 10 most critical job skills to parlay in your job search for 2013: No. 1 Critical Thinking (found in 9 out of the 10 most in-demand jobs) Using logic and reasoning...
- Corridas Bancárias Do Séc. Xxi
Corridas bancárias do séc. XXI são diferentes, como explica Tyler Cowen: "The new complication is that bank deposits are no longer the dominant form of modern short-term finance. The modern bank run means a rush to withdraw from money market funds,...
Economia
Os limites da pesquisa economêtrica
Statistical
and applied probabilistic knowledge is the core of knowledge;
statistics is what tells you if something is true, false, or merely
anecdotal; it is the "logic of science"; it is the instrument of
risk-taking; it is the applied tools of epistemology; you can't be a
modern intellectual and not think probabilistically—but... let's not be
suckers. The problem is much more complicated than it seems to the
casual, mechanistic user who picked it up in graduate school. Statistics
can fool you. In fact it is fooling your government right now. It can
even bankrupt the system (let's face it: use of probabilistic methods
for the estimation of risks did just blow up the banking system).
THE FOURTH QUADRANT: A MAP OF THE LIMITS OF STATISTICS [9.15.08]
By Nassim Nicholas Taleb
By Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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- Institutos Nacional De Estatísticas Das Nações:
África do Sul - Statistics South AfricaAlbânia - Institute of StatisticsAlemanha - Federal Statistical OfficeAndorra - Departament d'Estudis i d'EstadísticaArgentina - Instituto Nacional de Estadística y CensosArménia - National Statistical...
- A Problemática Das Privisões
Amazon Best Books of the Month, September 2012: People love statistics. Statistics, however, do not always love them back. The Signal and the Noise, Nate Silver's brilliant and elegant tour of the modern science-slash-art of forecasting, shows what...
- Não-ergodicidade
Non-Ergodic Economics Stochastic multiplicative growth, specifically geometric Brownian motion, plays a central role in finance an in economics. The non-ergodicity of this process manifests itself as a difference between ensemble and time average growth...
- 10 Características Para Ter Sucesso
The 10 Skills That Will Get You Hired In 2013 By Meghan Casserly | Forbes Here, the 10 most critical job skills to parlay in your job search for 2013: No. 1 Critical Thinking (found in 9 out of the 10 most in-demand jobs) Using logic and reasoning...
- Corridas Bancárias Do Séc. Xxi
Corridas bancárias do séc. XXI são diferentes, como explica Tyler Cowen: "The new complication is that bank deposits are no longer the dominant form of modern short-term finance. The modern bank run means a rush to withdraw from money market funds,...