Economia
Governo Obama: Pacote Fiscal de Estímulos ou Expansão Permanente do Governo?
Ed Lazear acredita que é a segunda alternativa. Ele argumenta:
"Congress and the Obama administration have used the economic downturn as an excuse to expand the size of government. Calling it a stimulus, they have instead put in place a spending agenda that will unfold over the next two years. Although a little over one-third of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 goes to tax relief, the rest is in the form of spending programs that will be difficult to stop once they are up and running.""Additional evidence that the Obama administration wants to expand government rather than stimulate the economy comes from the president's own statements about deficit reduction. When the budget came out, he announced a goal of reducing the deficit to around 4% of GDP by 2013, at which point the administration believes the economy will be fully recovered. Yet to keep the ratio of public debt to GDP constant, the deficit must actually stay below about 2.7%.For perspective, recall that the Bush deficit, which has been criticized for being too large, reached a peak of 3.6% of GDP in 2004. But it fell steadily to 1.2% of GDP by 2007 before rising again to about 3% after TARP."
"It may be the case that the country wants more government, that Americans now believe the European model of big government is best. That is a decision that society must make. But it should do so with no illusions: The current stimulus and calls for a future one are primarily government growth policies, not strategies to shorten the current recession."
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Lições Da Grande Depressão
Causas da Grande Depressão
Hoover and Roosevelt
− The 1920s was a period of healthy economic growth until President Herbert Hoover instituted anti-market, anti-globalization, anti-immigration, and pro-cartelization policies, Edward Prescott...
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O Multiplicador Keynesiano Pode Ser Negativo
KEYNESIAN GOVERNMENT SPENDING MULTIPLIERS AND SPILLOVERS
IN THE EURO AREA
by Tobias Cwik and Volker Wieland
Abstract
The global financial crisis has lead to a renewed interest in discretionary fiscal stimulus. Advocates
of...
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Contra Keynes E O Keynesianismo Moderno
"... Robert Barro, Harvard University, said of the Obama fiscal stimulus proposal: "This is probably the worst bill that has been put forward since the 1930s. I don't know what to say. I mean it's wasting a tremendous amount of money. It has some...
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Chega De Maluquice!
Esta é a mensagem central do artigo de John Taylor no WSJ: "It's been three years since the financial crisis flared up and the recession began. Yet the unemployment rate is still over 9%—double what it was before the recession—and it's...
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A pior imposição de Bush
Obviamente é o imposto! Tabarrok, do The Independent Institute (um bom think tank!) tem um comentário sobre a proposta do presidente Bush. Quem conhece o conceito de equivalência ricardiana verá que o autor está fortemente...
Economia