Economia
We invite you to predict when China will overtake America
AMERICA'S GDP is still roughly twice as big as China’s (using market exchange rates). To predict when the gap might be closed, The Economist has updated its interactive chart below with the latest GDP numbers. This allows you to plug in your own assumptions about real GDP growth in China and America, inflation rates and the yuan’s exchange rate against the dollar. Over the past ten years, real GDP growth averaged 10.5% a year in China and 1.6% in America; inflation (as measured by the GDP deflator) averaged 4.3% and 2.2% respectively. Since Beijing scrapped its dollar peg in 2005, the yuan has risen by an annual average of just over 4%. Our best guess for the next decade is that annual GDP growth averages 7.75% in China and 2.5% in America, inflation rates average 4% and 1.5%, and the yuan appreciates by 3% a year. Plug in these numbers and China will overtake America in 2018. Alternatively, if China’s real growth rate slows to an average of only 5%, then (leaving the other assumptions unchanged) it would not become number one until 2021. What do you think?
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Economia
Estados Unidos e China em comparação
AMERICA'S GDP is still roughly twice as big as China’s (using market exchange rates). To predict when the gap might be closed, The Economist has updated its interactive chart below with the latest GDP numbers. This allows you to plug in your own assumptions about real GDP growth in China and America, inflation rates and the yuan’s exchange rate against the dollar. Over the past ten years, real GDP growth averaged 10.5% a year in China and 1.6% in America; inflation (as measured by the GDP deflator) averaged 4.3% and 2.2% respectively. Since Beijing scrapped its dollar peg in 2005, the yuan has risen by an annual average of just over 4%. Our best guess for the next decade is that annual GDP growth averages 7.75% in China and 2.5% in America, inflation rates average 4% and 1.5%, and the yuan appreciates by 3% a year. Plug in these numbers and China will overtake America in 2018. Alternatively, if China’s real growth rate slows to an average of only 5%, then (leaving the other assumptions unchanged) it would not become number one until 2021. What do you think?
Mais
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- Dívida Pública - Mapa Interativo
Our interactive graphic above shows the IMF's latest forecasts (updated in October 2012) for government gross debt as a percentage of GDP through to 2017. It also allows you to input your own long-term assumptions to project the likely path of debt...
- China E O Livre Comércio
America vs China: “Free Trade Is Only for Friends,” Says Prof. D’Aveni By Bernice Napach China is the second biggest economy in the world and has been the engine for global growth. But now China is expected to grow at its slowest rate in...
- Guerra Cambial
Bernanke Bludgeons China With Inflation in Currency War: Books By James PressleyWe’re in the throes of Currency War III, and Ben Bernanke has won the first offensive by flooding China with inflation. If this sounds like a geeky online...
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Debt dynamics- The maths behind the madness-The Economist online GOVERNMENT debt dynamics, once an esoteric subject of interest only to macroeconomists, are suddenly in vogue... Veja aqui a mapa interativa da dívida pública There are two things that...
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Taxa de câmbio... Será que a China muda sua taxa de câmbio apenas de dez em dez anos? Em um momento em que o governo brasileiro diz ser vantajoso aumentar as relações comerciais com a China, esta se torna uma questão pertinente. Leia mais...