Economia
Numa comunicação feita hoje o Presidente do BCE formula uma proposta de alteração radical do quadro institucional da zona euro.
"As a first stage, it is justified to provide financial assistance in the context of a strong adjustment programme. It is appropriate to give countries an opportunity to put the situation right themselves and to restore stability.
At the same time, such assistance is in the interests of the euro area as a whole, as it prevents crises spreading in a way that could cause harm to other countries.
It is of paramount importance that adjustment occurs; that countries – governments and opposition – unite behind the effort; and that contributing countries survey with great care the implementation of the programme.
But if a country is still not delivering, I think all would agree that the second stage has to be different.
Would it go too far if we envisaged, at this second stage, giving euro area authorities a much deeper and authoritative say in the formation of the country’s economic policies if these go harmfully astray? A direct influence, well over and above the reinforced surveillance that is presently envisaged?
The rationale for this approach would be to find a balance between the independence of countries and the interdependence of their actions, especially in exceptional circumstances.
We can see before our eyes that membership of the EU, and even more so of EMU, introduces a new understanding in the way sovereignty is exerted. Interdependence means that countries de facto do not have complete internal authority. They can experience crises caused entirely by the unsound economic policies of others.
With a new concept of a second stage, we would change drastically the present governance based upon the dialectics of surveillance, recommendations and sanctions.
In the present concept, all the decisions remain in the hands of the country concerned, even if the recommendations are not applied, and even if this attitude triggers major difficulties for other member countries.
In the new concept, it would be not only possible, but in some cases compulsory, in a second stage for the European authorities – namely the Council on the basis of a proposal by the Commission, in liaison with the ECB – to take themselves decisions applicable in the economy concerned.
One way this could be imagined is for European authorities to have the right to veto some national economic policy decisions. The remit could include in particular major fiscal spending items and elements essential for the country’s competitiveness."
PS: Confesso que o que me deixa mais intrigado é saber o que se consideram como elementos essenciais para a competitividade de um país.
- Can The Euro Area Hit The Rewind Button? - Barry Eichengreen
Num artigo do passado dia 23 de Julho, Eichengreen considera que a criação do euro foi um gigantesco erro: "Creating a single currency without also creating a single bank regulator, an emergency lender, and a credible set of fiscal rules gave...
- Ler Os Outros: 1937! 1937! 1937! - Paul Krugman
"(...) The financial engineering is Rube Goldbergish and unconvincing. But here’s what leaped out at me: 9. All euro area Member States will adhere strictly to the agreed fiscal targets, improve competitiveness and address macro-economic imbalances....
- As Respostas De Mario Draghi
O questionário do Parlamento Europeu ao futuro presidente do BCE é um documento extremamente interessante para ilustrar os dilemas que a Europa enfrenta. Em resposta a uma das questões do questionário do Parlamento Europeu o futuro presidente do BCE...
- Profético
Q: Thank you very much. Before we sign off, could I just take the opportunity to ask you what you think the prospects are for the attempts in Europe to create a common currency area? Are you optimistic about their success? A: I think it's a big gamble...
- O Cinco Estágios Da Ascenção E Declínio De Um País
The Five Stages Of A Sovereign's Life-Cycle Submitted by Tyler Durden on 11/12/2012 18:34 -0500 Bridgewater's Ray Dalio believes four factors drive relative economic growth: competitiveness, indebtedness, culture, and luck. The returns...
Economia
O fim da soberania orçamental na zona euro ?
Numa comunicação feita hoje o Presidente do BCE formula uma proposta de alteração radical do quadro institucional da zona euro.
"As a first stage, it is justified to provide financial assistance in the context of a strong adjustment programme. It is appropriate to give countries an opportunity to put the situation right themselves and to restore stability.
At the same time, such assistance is in the interests of the euro area as a whole, as it prevents crises spreading in a way that could cause harm to other countries.
It is of paramount importance that adjustment occurs; that countries – governments and opposition – unite behind the effort; and that contributing countries survey with great care the implementation of the programme.
But if a country is still not delivering, I think all would agree that the second stage has to be different.
Would it go too far if we envisaged, at this second stage, giving euro area authorities a much deeper and authoritative say in the formation of the country’s economic policies if these go harmfully astray? A direct influence, well over and above the reinforced surveillance that is presently envisaged?
The rationale for this approach would be to find a balance between the independence of countries and the interdependence of their actions, especially in exceptional circumstances.
We can see before our eyes that membership of the EU, and even more so of EMU, introduces a new understanding in the way sovereignty is exerted. Interdependence means that countries de facto do not have complete internal authority. They can experience crises caused entirely by the unsound economic policies of others.
With a new concept of a second stage, we would change drastically the present governance based upon the dialectics of surveillance, recommendations and sanctions.
In the present concept, all the decisions remain in the hands of the country concerned, even if the recommendations are not applied, and even if this attitude triggers major difficulties for other member countries.
In the new concept, it would be not only possible, but in some cases compulsory, in a second stage for the European authorities – namely the Council on the basis of a proposal by the Commission, in liaison with the ECB – to take themselves decisions applicable in the economy concerned.
One way this could be imagined is for European authorities to have the right to veto some national economic policy decisions. The remit could include in particular major fiscal spending items and elements essential for the country’s competitiveness."
PS: Confesso que o que me deixa mais intrigado é saber o que se consideram como elementos essenciais para a competitividade de um país.
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- Can The Euro Area Hit The Rewind Button? - Barry Eichengreen
Num artigo do passado dia 23 de Julho, Eichengreen considera que a criação do euro foi um gigantesco erro: "Creating a single currency without also creating a single bank regulator, an emergency lender, and a credible set of fiscal rules gave...
- Ler Os Outros: 1937! 1937! 1937! - Paul Krugman
"(...) The financial engineering is Rube Goldbergish and unconvincing. But here’s what leaped out at me: 9. All euro area Member States will adhere strictly to the agreed fiscal targets, improve competitiveness and address macro-economic imbalances....
- As Respostas De Mario Draghi
O questionário do Parlamento Europeu ao futuro presidente do BCE é um documento extremamente interessante para ilustrar os dilemas que a Europa enfrenta. Em resposta a uma das questões do questionário do Parlamento Europeu o futuro presidente do BCE...
- Profético
Q: Thank you very much. Before we sign off, could I just take the opportunity to ask you what you think the prospects are for the attempts in Europe to create a common currency area? Are you optimistic about their success? A: I think it's a big gamble...
- O Cinco Estágios Da Ascenção E Declínio De Um País
The Five Stages Of A Sovereign's Life-Cycle Submitted by Tyler Durden on 11/12/2012 18:34 -0500 Bridgewater's Ray Dalio believes four factors drive relative economic growth: competitiveness, indebtedness, culture, and luck. The returns...