Economia
A propósito de um artigo de John Plender no FT em que estranha o facto de os mercados apenas "atacarem" os países que não dispõem de moeda própria, considerando que isso contradiz a tradicional preocupação dos mercados com a inflação. Krugman refere que:
"(...) Part of the answer is that countries on the euro are stuck with a severe competitiveness problem that can only be resolved with grinding deflation, making their debt problems worse.
On top of that, however, is the proposition that countries without a printing press are subject to self-fulfilling crises in a way that nations that still have a currency of their own are not. The point is that fears of default, by driving up interest costs, can themselves trigger default — and that because there’s a crossing-the-Rubicon aspect to default, once a country crosses that line it will probably impose fairly severe losses on creditors. A country with its own currency isn’t in the same position: even if it is pushed into some inflation, there’s no red line that need be crossed."
- Ler Os Outros: "cyprus, Seriously." - Paul Krugman
"Cyprus should leave the euro. Now. The reason is straightforward: staying in the euro means an incredibly severe depression, which will last for many years while Cyprus tries to build a new export sector. Leaving the euro, and letting the new currency...
- Ler Os Outros: Why Italy ? Why Not America ? - Krugman
"Specifically, the reason Greece (and Ireland, and Portugal, and to some extent Spain) are in so much trouble is that by adopting the euro they’ve left themselves with no good way out of the aftereffects of the pre-2008 bubble. To regain competitiveness,...
- Ler Os Outros: Sobre A Grécia
Dois excelentes artigos sobre a situação na Grécia. No primeiro artigo, publicado no WSJ, os Professores John Cochrane e Anil Kashyap referem a propósito da proposta alemã de que os bancos que "the only way to get banks to "voluntarily"...
- Um Artigo Do Roubini
Num artigo de Roubini (via Sedes) no qual ele refere que : "For the Club Med members of the euro zone – Italy, Spain, Greece, and Portugal – public-debt problems come on top of a loss of international competitiveness. These countries had already lost...
- Profético
Q: Thank you very much. Before we sign off, could I just take the opportunity to ask you what you think the prospects are for the attempts in Europe to create a common currency area? Are you optimistic about their success? A: I think it's a big gamble...
Economia
Ler os Outros: The Printing Press Mystery - Paul Krugman
A propósito de um artigo de John Plender no FT em que estranha o facto de os mercados apenas "atacarem" os países que não dispõem de moeda própria, considerando que isso contradiz a tradicional preocupação dos mercados com a inflação. Krugman refere que:
"(...) Part of the answer is that countries on the euro are stuck with a severe competitiveness problem that can only be resolved with grinding deflation, making their debt problems worse.
On top of that, however, is the proposition that countries without a printing press are subject to self-fulfilling crises in a way that nations that still have a currency of their own are not. The point is that fears of default, by driving up interest costs, can themselves trigger default — and that because there’s a crossing-the-Rubicon aspect to default, once a country crosses that line it will probably impose fairly severe losses on creditors. A country with its own currency isn’t in the same position: even if it is pushed into some inflation, there’s no red line that need be crossed."
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- Ler Os Outros: "cyprus, Seriously." - Paul Krugman
"Cyprus should leave the euro. Now. The reason is straightforward: staying in the euro means an incredibly severe depression, which will last for many years while Cyprus tries to build a new export sector. Leaving the euro, and letting the new currency...
- Ler Os Outros: Why Italy ? Why Not America ? - Krugman
"Specifically, the reason Greece (and Ireland, and Portugal, and to some extent Spain) are in so much trouble is that by adopting the euro they’ve left themselves with no good way out of the aftereffects of the pre-2008 bubble. To regain competitiveness,...
- Ler Os Outros: Sobre A Grécia
Dois excelentes artigos sobre a situação na Grécia. No primeiro artigo, publicado no WSJ, os Professores John Cochrane e Anil Kashyap referem a propósito da proposta alemã de que os bancos que "the only way to get banks to "voluntarily"...
- Um Artigo Do Roubini
Num artigo de Roubini (via Sedes) no qual ele refere que : "For the Club Med members of the euro zone – Italy, Spain, Greece, and Portugal – public-debt problems come on top of a loss of international competitiveness. These countries had already lost...
- Profético
Q: Thank you very much. Before we sign off, could I just take the opportunity to ask you what you think the prospects are for the attempts in Europe to create a common currency area? Are you optimistic about their success? A: I think it's a big gamble...