Economia
A lei de retornos acelerados
An analysis of the history of technology shows that technological change is exponential, contrary to the common-sense “intuitive linear” view. So we won’t experience 100 years of progress in the 21st century — it will be more like 20,000 years of progress (at today’s rate). The “returns,” such as chip speed and cost-effectiveness, also increase exponentially. There’s even exponential growth in the rate of exponential growth. Within a few decades, machine intelligence will surpass human intelligence, leading to The Singularity — technological change so rapid and profound it represents a rupture in the fabric of human history. The implications include the merger of biological and nonbiological intelligence, immortal software-based humans, and ultra-high levels of intelligence that expand outward in the universe at the speed of light.
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História De Pobreza
For nearly all of human history, most people were very, very poor. But something happened after 1800. Average wages began to rise. For example, in the past 200 years, the average wage in the United States has gone from $3.00 per day to over $120.00 per...
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Brasil - Expectativas Não Realizadas
Past and Present: Brazil’s Unfulfilled Expectations
Industrial Growth and Structural Change: Brazil in a Long-Run Perspective
by Dante Aldrighi (
[email protected]) and Renato P. Colistete (
[email protected])
Abstract: This paper...
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Teorias Da Grande Estagnação
Kenneth Rogoff Innovation Crisis or Financial Crisis? CAMBRIDGE – As one year of sluggish growth spills into the next, there is growing debate about what to expect over the coming decades. Was the global financial crisis a harsh but transitory setback...
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O Progresso Econômico Na Perspectiva Histórica
The chart below shows a population-weighted history of the past two millennia. By this reckoning, over 28% of all the history made since the birth of Christ was made in the 20th century. Measured in years lived, the present century, which is only ten...
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Aula de Organização Industrial para economistas
O artigo abaixo é um bom complemento (ou contraponto, conforme seu professor) para um aula sobre OI (Organização Industrial). Afinal, o que o mundo dos negócios nos ensina sobre as alterações...
Economia
